 |
| Let the
devil take tomorrow |
 |
| By Moshe
Arens |
 |
|
To lead the nation in
a war to victory was just too much for them. Too
heavy a burden for their narrow shoulders. That trio
- Ehud Olmert, Amir Peretz and Tzipi Livni - asked
and received a mandate to lead the people of Israel,
promising to take our fate into our own hands and
unilaterally establish Israel's borders by
evacuating Israelis who live in Judea and Samaria,
and turn Israel into a country "in which it
will be a pleasure to live." We do not know and
probably will never know if they would have been up
to that task, but we now know they are not fit to
govern Israel in these trying times.
They had a few days of glory when they still
believed that the IAF's bombing of Lebanon would
make short shrift of Hezbollah and bring us victory
without pain. But as the war they so grossly
mismanaged wore on, as northern Israel received its
daily dose of 150-200 rockets, the Galilee was
destroyed and burned to the ground, over a million
Israelis sat in shelters or abandoned their homes
and both civilian and military casualties mounted -
gradually the air went out of them. Here and there,
they still let off some bellicose declarations, but
they started looking for an exit - how to extricate
themselves from the turn of events they were
obviously incapable of managing. They grasped for
straws, and what better straw than the United
Nations Security Council. No need to score a
military victory over Hezbollah. Let the UN declare
a cease-fire, and Olmert, Peretz, and Livni can
simply declare victory, whether you believe it or
not.
An almost audible sigh of relief could be heard from
the Prime Minister's Office as the negotiations that
were supposed to lead to a cease-fire began at the
UN. The appropriate rhetoric has already started
flying. So what if the whole world sees this
diplomatic arrangement - which Israel agreed to
while it was still receiving a daily dose of
Hezbollah rockets - as a defeat suffered by Israel
at the hands of a few thousand Hezbollah fighters?
So what if nobody believes that an
"emboldened" UNIFIL force will disarm
Hezbollah, and that Hezbollah with thousands of
rockets still in its arsenal and truly emboldened by
this month's success against the mighty Israel
Defense Forces, will now become a partner for peace?
Does a cease-fire that will avoid further casualties
among the IDF's soldiers not outweigh these concerns
over future events?
|
 |
|
Many
politicians are notorious for preferring short-term
considerations over a long-term view. Examples
abound of the dangers of such myopic policies. From
Munich in Europe of 1938 that set the stage for
World War II, to Oslo in 1993 which brought Arafat
and his cohorts from Tunis here, to the
disengagement from Gush Katif last year that brought
Hamas to power, and Barak's hasty withdrawal from
Lebanon in 2000, which sowed the seeds of the latest
intifada and is the root cause of the current war -
the rotten fruits of that withdrawal we have been
reaping this past month.
The long-term implications of an Israeli agreement
to a UN brokered cease-fire at this time are
obvious. Israel's enemies, and they are many, will
conclude that Israel does not have the stamina for
an extended encounter with terrorism. You do not
need tanks and aircraft to defeat Israel - a few
thousand rockets are enough. Katyushas today and
Qassams tomorrow. Don't let Olmert, Peretz and Livni
fool you: These rockets will keep coming after
Israel is seen as not only punished but also
defeated in this month-long war.
"Yesterday is dead and tomorrow's out of
sight," Dean Martin used to sing. Olmert may be
humming this song as he agrees to the UN cease-fire
resolution, and Peretz and Livni can sing the
refrain "let the devil take tomorrow." But
tomorrow will come much sooner than they expect. And
it will find Israel with nothing left of its
deterrent capability that used to keep its enemies
at bay. The war, which according to our leaders was
supposed to restore Israel's deterrent posture, has
within one month succeeded in destroying it. That
message will not be lost on Hamas, the Syrians and
the Iranians, and possibly even some of our Arab
neighbors who for many years had forsworn
belligerence against Israel.
The task facing Israel now is to restore its
deterrent posture and prepare for the attacks that
are sure to come. But not with this leadership. They
have exhausted whatever little credit they had when
they were voted into office.
|
|
|