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It is to be hoped that the United Nations
Security Council will quickly pass the resolution ending the war in
Lebanon in the spirit of the agreement revealed on Thursday. Ehud Olmert
must be encouraged to lead the cabinet firmly to adopt it.
This war broke out in no small way because of the Israeli leadership's
lack of diplomatic-military experience and failure to predict the future.
Olmert will have to be magnanimous in accepting the compromise taking
shape internationally, because it will be an admission of Israel's
inability to achieve its declared goals.
There is reason to believe he has this quality. He is not a cynic who, for
reasons of prestige or other extraneous considerations, would take tens of
thousands of soldiers into battle to risk their lives.
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The diplomatic solution, in spite
of its limitations and the bitter pills to be swallowed, is preferable to
expanding the war, since a new military move would not change the outcome
of the armed conflict.
Even if the military limits considerably Hezbollah's short-range Katyusha
launch capabilities, it will not erase the impression that this
organization has made in its challenge to Israel.
The country's leadership must use cool reason, and not be dragged along by
inflamed desires and assessments. The longed-for military victory will not
vaporize Hezbollah; the cost of the attempt - estimated at hundreds of
additional losses to the IDF - will erode the authority of those who
decided to implement it.
The security council formula provides, albeit barely, a basis to change
Israel-Lebanon relations. Israel should make do with this and set about
fundamentally repairing its relations with its neighbors.
The leadership will have to pay the price of its initiation and management
of this war. He who decides to fire the GOC Northern Command without
taking into consideration that the fighting may be over in two days,
proves that even after a month of fighting he has not learned to predict
the future.
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