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Two
weeks after Israel set out to defeat Hezbollah, its
military achievements are pretty limited. A country
that stood up to seven Arab nations in the War of
Independence, a war of the "few against the
many," with an army that pulverized the
invading forces of three Arab nations in the span of
six days, is now facing an embarrassing role
reversal: a war of the "many against the
few" in which Israel is on the floorboards.
Who would have believed that a guerrilla
organization with a few hundred regular fighters,
something like a brigade and a half, could paralyze
half a country, firing off hundreds of missiles
every day? A total of 2,200 by Sunday morning, says
the defense minister. Who would have believed that
cities like Safed, Acre, Nahariya, Tiberias and
especially Haifa, the capital of the North, would
wake up every morning to the sound of sirens and
deadly rocket fire that would turn tens of thousands
of people into refugees and shut down life in a
large part of the country? And that's even before
Hezbollah has tried to use its long-range missiles
on Tel Aviv.
Who would have believed that the Israel Defense
Forces, the army that is prepared for large-scale
wars, that Iran fears will attack its nuclear
facilities, that can drop 23 tons of bombs in a
single night, is incapable of stopping Hezbollah's
missile fire? How is that as soon as the IDF
announces Hezbollah's TV station has been bombed,
Hassan Nasrallah pops up in blooming health to
continue his taunts against us?
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Israel
went to war with the goal of wiping out Hezbollah, a
hostile militia operating on its border, in response
to provocation and the kidnapping of soldiers made
possible by the sluggishness and routine that has
become widespread in the IDF in recent months. It
did so with international backing, with President
Bush leading the pack, and the support of most
Israeli citizens.
Bush and the public assumed that the army knew what
it was doing, and that Israel, with its superiority
in manpower, weaponry and technology, would be able
to put an end to Hezbollah as a menace to Israel.
Little by little, however, a worrying picture has
begun to emerge: Instead of an army that is small
but smart, we are catching glimpses of an army that
is big, rich and dumb.
Take the bizarre appearances of IDF top brass on
television: The commander of the Home Front, who
stands there handing out high marks to the Israeli
public, seemingly unaware that the moment people
sense the army is not functioning, they will take to
their heels - not only leaving their homes but
fleeing the country, following tens of thousands of
tourists who have already hightailed it out of here.
The chief of staff, who had to say that "we're
going to turn Lebanon back into what it was 20 years
ago," and now threatens to blow up a 10-floor
building for every missile. The district commander
who declares: "We don't do body counts in the
middle of a war," an improved version of the
comment of Benny Gantz, who was a brigadier general
in 2001: "When you chop down trees, splinters
fly," totally forgetting that the splinters are
human beings.
We have a chief of staff who looks like he gets up
every morning and agonizes over what to wear - his
blue uniform or his khakis. A chief of staff who
delivers state-of-the-union addresses that should be
the job of the prime minister, and spends whole days
touring with Channel 2 correspondent Ronny Daniel.
In his observations to the media, Brigadier General
(res.) Rafi Noy is right when he says that
Hezbollah, with its hidden arsenals, continues to
enjoy the upper hand, while the mighty IDF still has
far to go to knock it out of commission.
Unlike some of my colleagues, I believe that Israel
is fighting a no-choice war that we must do
everything possible to win. Air strikes, ground
operations - whatever it takes so that Hezbollah,
exhausted and beaten, pulls back and a multinational
force is deployed along the international border
together with the Lebanese Army, in keeping with
Security Council Resolution 1559.
If Hezbollah does not cooperate with a UN-mediated
agreement stipulating that it give up its heavy
weapons, and refuses to stay north of the Litani
River, the IDF will have no choice but to keep up
the attacks and pound away at Hezbollah, crushing it
outpost by outpost. The rules of the game dictated
by Hezbollah are going to have to change. A status
quo ante is out of the question.
The conflict with Hezbollah cannot be allowed to
deteriorate into a war of attrition. It must not be
expanded beyond its stated goals. And the Israeli
public must not be overly put to the test, lest the
"wonderful home front" blow up in the
government's face.
The trouble is that we don't have all the time in
the world. Condeleezza Rice is on her way. She will
shuttle back and forth, back and forth, until the
moment comes for a cease-fire agreement. We can only
hope that the army reverts to its old self and has
the wisdom and good sense to know what to do and
when to do it, to produce the desired outcome.
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